In the race toward net-zero, North America is no longer just participating, it's engineering a new roadmap. At the center of this transformation are three technologies making serious waves: blue ammonia, direct air capture (DAC), and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). On their own, they’re powerful. Combined, they’re redefining how the U.S. and Canada tackle climate targets while creating new economic opportunities.
These aren’t future bets. They're happening now, thanks to policy tailwinds like the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and Canada’s Clean Fuel Regulations, which have unlocked massive funding and market incentives across clean hydrogen, carbon capture, and low-emissions fuels.
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Blue ammonia, ammonia made from hydrogen where the carbon emissions are captured and stored, is emerging as a key carrier for clean hydrogen exports. It’s stable, energy-dense, and crucially, compatible with existing infrastructure.
One of the most visible players in this space is CF Industries, which recently announced a $2 billion blue ammonia production facility in Louisiana in partnership with Mitsui & Co.. This project, expected to begin production in 2027, will use natural gas as a feedstock while capturing and storing up to 2.5 million metric tons of CO₂ annually.
Another example is Air Products, developing a world-scale $4.5 billion blue hydrogen and ammonia facility in Texas. With CCS integrated from the ground up, this plant will sequester 5 million metric tons of CO₂ per year and deliver blue ammonia to global markets hungry for clean fuels.
According to Dan Brouillette, President of Sempra Infrastructure, "blue ammonia is an export-ready solution that fits within today’s energy systems but aligns with tomorrow’s climate goals."
DAC isn’t just a concept anymore, it's a growing network of industrial-scale carbon removal hubs backed by billions in federal support. The U.S. Department of Energy is funding four regional DAC hubs under its $3.5 billion Regional DAC Hubs program.
CarbonCapture Inc. and Frontier Carbon Solutions are leading development of Project Bison in Wyoming, which aims to capture and store up to 5 million metric tons of CO₂ annually by 2030. Meanwhile, in Canada, Deep Sky is scaling up its tech-agnostic DAC model with its first facility, Deep Sky Alpha, launching this year.
Rubicon Carbon, one of the biggest buyers of high-integrity carbon credits, recently signed a multi-year offtake agreement with Deep Sky. This type of partnership shows that DAC is not only feasible, it’s already commercializing.
*Illustrative projection based on industry and public data (e.g. IEA, DOE, Carbon Engineering). Actual costs may vary.*
Airlines are under intense pressure to decarbonize, and SAF is the only near-term tool that fits into existing aviation infrastructure. But feedstock challenges and high costs have kept SAF production limited, until now.
Blue ammonia offers a pathway to create hydrogen-derived SAF, especially when paired with DAC for additional carbon capture credits. Carbon Engineering, acquired by Occidental, is already working on combining DAC with SAF production at its Stratos plant in Texas, slated for completion in the late 2020s.
In Canada, Aemetis is building a multi-million-gallon SAF plant in Ontario that will use carbon-negative feedstocks and could benefit from DAC integration as the technology scales.
Anna Mascolo, President of Shell Aviation, recently stated, “We are committed to SAF as a key decarbonization lever, but success depends on parallel investments in hydrogen and carbon capture ecosystems.”
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Technology | 2025 Figure | 2030 Projection | Key Cost Metric |
---|---|---|---|
DAC Capacity | 59 kt CO₂/yr | 569 kt CO₂/yr (873% growth) | $1,000 → $100–$232/tonne |
Blue Ammonia Market | $45M | $1.5B (42.5% CAGR) | $471/mt (US Gulf Coast) |
US SAF Capacity | 2,000 barrels/day | 30,000 barrels/day | 10x growth by 2024 |
Projects like the Midwest Alliance for Clean Hydrogen (MachH2), which includes BP and other heavyweights, are tying together blue hydrogen, CCS, and SAF production with regional infrastructure and workforce development.
Meanwhile, Occidental’s 1PointFive is building the world’s largest DAC facility in Texas, with ambitions to integrate it into SAF supply chains through strategic partnerships.
And in Alberta, Air Products Canada is investing $1.6 billion in a net-zero hydrogen energy complex that includes blue hydrogen, CCS, and plans for ammonia production, all of which could be used in SAF blends for aviation.
None of these technologies alone will decarbonize the aviation sector or deliver a clean hydrogen economy. But together—blue ammonia to move energy, DAC to remove emissions, and SAF to clean up aviation—they represent a systems-level transformation.
The combination is technically sound, commercially attractive, and increasingly backed by policy. And most importantly, it leverages existing industrial assets while pushing the boundary of what’s possible.
This is no longer an experiment. It’s a strategy, and North America is racing to lead it.
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BP plc
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CF Industries Holdings
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Occidental Petroleum Corporation
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